Horizon learning guide · English
How to Read a Horizon Forecast
A practical guide to Horizon’s direction, expected close and price range, with a checklist for comparing a forecast with the finished candle.
Start with the question the forecast answers
Horizon helps you study how a selected market might behave during a particular candle. A forecast for a 15-minute candle answers a different question from one for a daily candle. Before looking at the direction, record the symbol, timeframe, candle open and the time the reading was made. A forecast is an estimate that can be wrong; it is not a promise of a price or a trading instruction.
1. Choose a market and timeframe
Search for a coin or stock in Horizon and select the candle timeframe. The interface supports 15-minute, one-hour, four-hour, daily and weekly candles. Features and available usage depend on your account. For your first learning exercise, follow one market and one timeframe so that you can compare readings consistently.
2. Read the direction with its timing
The direction indicates whether Horizon expects the candle to close bullish or bearish. Read it alongside the confidence level and the time remaining. A reading late in the candle has more information than one near the beginning. A neutral reading or no direction call is a meaningful result: uncertainty should not be turned into a confident prediction.
3. Separate the expected close from the range
The forecast displays the current price, the expected close and an expected high and low. These describe different aspects of the candle. The expected close is an estimate of where the candle may finish. The high and low describe the forecast span. Price can move outside an estimated range. Do not interpret the box as a guaranteed boundary or the close as an exact target.
4. Inspect the explanation
Use the Why view to read the explanation in plain language. Ask AI can help you question the reading. Useful questions include: What supports this forecast? What would weaken it? Which part is uncertain? Treat explanations as material to examine against the chart, rather than proof that an outcome must occur.
5. Keep a record before the result
Write down the reading before the candle closes. If you use Pulse, remember that Horizon can refresh its forecast as new data arrives. Keep the earlier reading as well as the later one; replacing the first with the last would hide how the forecast changed. Once the candle closes, compare the original direction and range with the actual outcome.
An illustrative reading
Suppose a one-hour candle opens at 100. At 10 minutes, a tool estimates a close of 102 with a range from 98 to 104. At 50 minutes, it changes the expected close to 101. If the candle finishes at 99, the early bullish call was wrong even though 99 falls inside the early range. These are invented teaching numbers, not a Horizon result. Direction and range must be evaluated separately.
Where to check real results
Use the public Horizon track record for observed results. It separates direction calls by timing and shows comparison baselines and no-call counts. Start with the companion guide on evaluating forecast accuracy, then study why early and late readings should be compared separately.